Black voters made up a larger share of the electorate than in 2024, helping to (maybe) flip Mississippi's Senate seat ...

This newsletter has grown exponentially over the last couple of months, adding over 10,000 free readers and hundreds of paid members. If you are one of the Strength In Numbers OGs, please join me in ...

Final early voting records from Texas, Georgia, and now North Carolina show Democrats benefiting from an “engagement gap” ...

I’m popping my head up from paternity leave for a few hours this morning to write this note on a topical new poll that everyone seems to be reading incorrectly. If you get value out of data-driven ...

While low-engagement voters favored Trump over Kamala Harris by 13 points in 2024, low-engagement likely voters now favor Democrats in congressional races by 2 points. That’s a 15-point swing toward ...

Latino voters more than doubled, from 1.5% of early voters to 3.4%, and voters under 30 went from 8% to 11%. And Republicans under 45 cast fewer early ballots than they did in 2022 — even as the total ...

Welcome to the Strength In Numbers Election Day live blog! This page is your one-stop shop for all things data-driven commentary on Election Day 2026. A few links and reminders for you: First, my last ...

As of writing, Democrats have won back their majorities in the U.S. House and Senate in a historic thumpin’ for the Republican Party. That Democrats have won both chambers is not a surprise — our ...

Programming note! Our final podcast before the election is today, Oct. 29, 2026. David and I will take all your questions about the midterms live at 2:00 PM Eastern. Please join us! Paying members can ...

A mailbag episode about Democrats’ huge early voting numbers, the almost-final polls in key Senate races, and everything else ...