Allan Lichtman reaffirms 2024 election prediction, takes jab at forecaster Nate Silver
Historian Allan Lichtman called out Nate Silver's 2024 forecast, despite both predicting Kamala Harris would defeat Donald Trump.
'I admit I was wrong': Allan Lichtman explains why his election prediction failed
in the 2024 presidential election results Lichtman shared the two major reasons his "13 Keys to the White House" prediction system failed this year, including disdain for the Biden-Harris administration and Harris' delayed campaign start after Biden ...
Allan Lichtman Admits He Was Wrong About Harris Election Win, Explains Why
The so-called "Nostradamus" of U.S. elections has admitted he was wrong after predicting Kamala Harris would win the keys to the White House this year.
Election predictor Allan Lichtman explains his incorrect prediction
Election predictor Allan Lichtman's success rate is now at 81.8%.
Allan Lichtman taking time to assess why he was wrong about Trump win
Presidential historian Allan Lichtman had correctly predicted nearly every presidential race since 1984 until 2024.
Video: See the moment Lichtman realized his election prediction was wrong
See the moment Lichtman realized his election prediction was wrong Presidential historian Allan Lichtman details why his prediction that Vice President Kamala Harris would defeat President-elect Donald Trump in the race for the White House was incorrect.
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Nostradamus Pollster Blames Fox News and X for Election Prediction Disaster
An embarrassed Lichtman pulled his prediction model around 10:30 p.m. on Election Night last Tuesday and said he would ...
Grover Norquist wins The Hill’s 2024 elections prediction contest
Grover Norquist has won The Hill’s 2024 elections contest, predicting that Republicans would control the White House, the ...
Election Day forecast: Storms possible in central US; calm Northeast temps
Key swing states, such as Michigan and Wisconsin, are expected to see gusty winds and rainfall as a front pushes eastward.
Historian with streak of accurate election forecasts since 1984 falls short after 2024 Trump victory
Historian Allan Lichtman's "keys to the White House" prediction that Vice President Harris would win the 2024 election marks ...
Peter Thiel's 'contrarian' election prediction came true
Thiel predicted in September that the 2024 election was "not going to be close" as he declined to spend money to help elect ...
538's final forecasts for the 2024 election
Through Monday, Nov. 4, 83 million Americans had already cast their ballots in the 2024 election. On Tuesday, Nov. 5 — Election Day — millions more will join them.
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Kamala Harris moves ahead—just—in our final election forecast
If these surveys had entered our forecast a month ago, her win probability would have risen only modestly. But because there is no time left before the election, our model reacts sharply to new ...
Prediction Markets Are Basking in Their Election Win. Can It Last?
History suggests the platforms have flourished during U.S. presidential elections, then struggled afterward.
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Election Day forecast: Heavy rain, snow, record heat could impact voters
As millions of Americans head to the polls, thunderstorms are forecast from the Great Lakes to the Gulf Coast, with the ...
Nate Silver Gives Election Prediction as Favorite To Win Changes
It comes after Silver's Monday forecast showed that Trump was the favorite to win the election, with a 50.4 percent chance of winning the Electoral College to Harris's 49.2 percent. The day before, ...
Lichtman blames bad election prediction on disinformation, Elon Musk
Historian and political scientist Allan Lichtman is blaming disinformation and billionaire tech mogul Elon Musk for his ...